Monday, 6 August 2018

A new multi-month high

US equity indexes closed moderately higher, sp +10pts (0.4%) at 2850. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, both settled +0.6%. Near term outlook offers another s/t cooling wave, at least to re-test the 2800/2790s. Min' technical retrace remains 2768.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode, but with no downside pressure, resumed into the same algo-bot melt mode that we saw last Thurs/Friday. The sp' broke a new multi-month high of 2853.29, just fractionally shy of fully filling the last upside gap (2822/2853.53).

Volatility was naturally subdued, with the VIX settling in the low 11s. A sporadic spike to the 15/16s is entirely viable later this week.
--

Bonus chart: China, monthly


Monday saw a net daily decline of -1.3% to 2705... approaching the July low of 2691. This is getting ugly again, as the US/China trade war is already seeing a clear victor... at least in equity prices.
--


--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
--
If you value my work, subscribe to me.
For details: https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.co.uk/p/subscriptions.html