sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
There is little to add on what was a day of minor chop. How its notable that the market still managed to break new historic highs for the Dow and Nasdaq comp'.
VIX remains naturally subdued as the US capital market is extremely confident.
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Update on US bonds: via TLT, monthly'2
Last November saw a decisive break of rising trend that stretches back to at least early 2014.. if not a decade, depending on how you draw it. Price structure since the Dec' low of $116.24 is a rather clear bear flag. The lower bollinger is offering the $110s by early summer.
Nothing has changed since I first stated at the start of the year. I anticipate three rate hikes this year - May, Sept', and Dec'. If correct, TLT will be rather close to $100 by year end, and that has implications for all sorts of things.
Goodnight from London