US equity indexes closed moderately mixed, sp -4pts at 2176 (intra low
2170). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled higher by 0.1% and 0.6%
respectively. VIX settled +1.4% @ 13.12. Near term outlook is bullish into and beyond the Labor day
holiday break (Sept 5th), with sp'2225/50 a viable target by late
September.
sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
A pretty subdued day.. as expected... leaning a little weak. Even the afternoon cooling to sp'2170 only saw the VIX climb to 13.60. A move to the 15s looks highly unlikely in the near term, with the key 20 threshold out of range until late September.
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A probable August net gain
sp'monthly
Considering the short term cyclical setup, the sp' is set for a sixth consecutive net monthly gain - the best run since summer 2013.
I am well aware - and would agree, that the Sept/Oct' period can be a struggle for equities, but broadly, I don't see a move back under the breakout level of sp'2134. Bears... look..... toast.
Yours.. the bullish permabear.
Goodnight from London