Wednesday, 11 May 2016

3pm update - weakness into the close

US equities continue to weaken, as price momentum is now moderately favouring the bears. Even a daily close in the sp'2065/60 zone - with VIX 15s, will only negate around half of the gains from the Friday low of 2039. Meanwhile, Oil is holding powerful gains, +3.2% in the $46s.


sp'60min



USO, daily2


Summary

re: oil, double top in the WTIC $46s?    If so.. first soft target is the $40 threshold.. and that is 15% lower.
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As for equities.. short term price action should see new lows into the close.. with viable downside across at least some of tomorrow, at least to 2055/50... with VIX 15s.
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notable weakness: NFLX, daily


... unable to hold the $90s. The uber-doomer downside target is $50/45... but that would require at least the sp'1600s.
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back at the close....