Wednesday, 11 November 2015

12pm update - murky bearish skies

US equities remain choppy - much like the previous two days. Price structure is an increasingly large bear flag.. which is suggestive of the 2050/40s in the next wave lower. The sp'2020s remain the most natural level for the market to floor next week. Oil is notably weak, -2.4% in the $42s.


sp'daily5



USO'daily2



Summary

*the weakness in Oil is going to put some degree of downward pressure on the market for the remainder of the year.

.. but then, I see lower energy prices as bullish. Or maybe you'd like to pay more for gasoline and your domestic fuel?
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Hard to call whether we'll close marginally higher.. or lower. There are certainly some strong decliners today in commodity/energy land though...

Nat' gas, CHK -4%
Coal miners, CNX -8%
Oil/gas drillers, RIG, -4%, SDRL -8%

FCX -6%, lower for the sixth consecutive day.

Apache (APA), -6%, as takeover chatter cools


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Here in London city...


Not exactly inspiring, at least another five months until its warm and bright again.

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VIX update from Mr T.



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time for lunch