Thursday, 25 June 2015

12pm update - chop chop

US equities remain in minor chop mode... before the downside resumes. Late day weakness looks probable, with a net daily decline across most indexes. Transports remains notably weak... seemingly headed for 8K... secondary target is the Oct' low of 7700.


Trans, daily



sp'weekly



Summary

On the bigger weekly cycle, the sp'500 sure looks tired. A weekly close <2100 (probable.. in my view).. would make for a pretty bearish weekly candle.. offering further downside next week.

A hit of the lower weekly bol' - currently @ 2057 (with the 200 day MA lurking nearby), would open up a more sig' bearish wave (under the giant 2K threshold) later this summer, but more on that.. if we get there.

notable weakness, BTU -4.1% in the $2.30s... just another day of horror for the coal miners.
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VIX update from Mr T.   due

*seemingly not appearing

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time for lunch


12.28pm.... baby bear flag on the hourly cycle.... market does look maxed out from 2115... weakness into the close