Monday 12 January 2015

10am update - opening weakness

US equities open moderately lower. Next key support is the lower gap area of sp'2030/25. A daily close under 2025 would be a major problem for the bulls. Metals are a little higher, Gold +$4. Oil remains in collapse mode, breaking a new cycle low of $46.33.


sp'60min


USO, weekly


Summary

*a notable new cycle low for Oil in the $46s... 45s look due.. which was Carboni's original target from the late summer.
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So... we're on the slide... an 'early Monday morning' washout? ... which was actually something a fair few were seeking.

What matters today is how.. .and where we close.

Those on the short side should be extremely mindful of a late morning turn/floor. As ever.. short stops (of some degree) would be... useful.
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Time to cook..........


10.08am.. market trying to put in a spike floor of 2022.  Bears............ beware!



smaller 5/15min cycles are on the low end.


10.26am..  A floor might well be in.... bull maniacs should be battling for a daily close back in the 2040s.

Notable weakness: SDRL -4%... in the $9.50s.... next level... $7 or so.