Wednesday 19 November 2014

3pm update - baby bear flag

Price structure on the smaller 15/60min equity cycles is a rather clear baby bull flag.. and offers weakness into the close... with a key break of the daily 10MA of sp'2040/39. First soft target is the low from Nov'4th.. around the giant sp'2000 threshold.


sp'60min



sp'daily3 - fib levels


Summary

There are a fair few reasons why sp'2000 should be tested in any retrace... should equate to at least VIX 16/17s.
--

updates into the close... especially if we break the morning low of sp'2040.
-

3.05pm... Main market looks weak...

Momo stocks are having real problems... TWTR, NFLX.. both -3%... nothing positive there at all.

Eyes to the VIX, a daily close in the 15s would be a major signal... just need sub' sp'2040


3.16pm.. Watching Santelli yelling at the Liesman... kinda funny... but still... tiresome.

Just getting a broader market decline of -0.5%... so damn difficult.

VIX showing near zero concern... flat lining.... +2% @14.20s.

notable weakness.. Metals... Gold -$14...   FOUR attempts today to break positive... and failed to hold.


3.37pm... Market really teasing the bears..... still no clear break. The Trans/R2K remain notably weak.

Gold bugs been through the washing machine today.... +3.. -22. +3... -13    +2... .. back to -$15.
......... more on the metals... on my other page... after the close!
 -

Oil/gas drillers having continued problems.... RIG $25... SDRL $20..... broader targets on those are $20/17... and $12/10 respectively.... so long as Oil continues to slip lower...

Spring 2015 bargains in the energy sector.... 


3.48pm.. Depressingly.. no daily close viable on the sp'500.. under the 10MA. Oh well.. maybe tomorrow.

*there is a truck load of econ-data tomorrow.... along with 2 fed officials on the loose.
--
back at the close