Friday, 3 October 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are moderately higher (ahead of the jobs data), sp +9pts, we're set to open at 1955. The USD continues to climb, +0.4% @ 86.0.. which is pressuring the metals, Gold -$6, with Silver -0.4%. Oil is again very weak, -1.0%


sp'daily5


Summary

So.. we're due to open higher, but that could easily flip in early morning, just as happened yesterday. The daily/weekly trends remain very bearish, and it would make ZERO sense for sp'1926 to be a key cycle floor.

Best case for the bears today...

Another lower low <1926
VIX weekly close above 200 MA... > 17.50
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Update from a (naturally) bullish Carboni



Lately though, he has been regularly wrong.
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Good wishes for Friday
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8.31am.. Jobs data: 248k net gains, headline rate 5.9%

Indexes holding gains, sp +10pts, sp'1956....

Regardless... a long day ahead.