With equities opening sharply lower, the VIX jumped at the open to 13.23, but immediately started to slip as the sell side was exhausted. VIX settled higher by 8.1% @ 12.59. Near term outlook is for the VIX to melt back down to the 11/10s...with 9s likely at some point this summer.
VIX'60min
VIX'daily3
Summary
Today was a classic instance where equity bears should have been almost solely focused on how the VIX was trading.
The VIX opened significantly higher..into the 13s.. but by 10am...it was already sporting a black-fail candle on the hourly cycle. This was indeed a major warning to the bears, and there was ample opportunity to exit in the sp'1950s.
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VIX looks set to melt lower into the weekend..and across much of next week.
I'd not be surprised to see VIX 9s before the end of this month.
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more later... on the indexes