Monday 2 June 2014

11am update - morning weakness

US indexes are somewhat mixed. After new historic highs, most of the indexes are now rolling over, with the hourly charts highly suggestive that a gap fill in the sp'1902/00 zone is viable within the near term. R2K is particularly weak, -1.2%. Metals are weak, Gold -$3


R2K, daily


Sp'60min


Summary

I am tempted to go long the R2K (yeah, I know), but will hold off, since the other indexes look only in the initial stage of a rollover.

So...lets see if the market can melt lower to the low 1900s...before levelling out.

Keep in mind, the bigger weekly cycles are now offering the 1930/35 zone in the immediate term.

Yes, I've noticed the VIX, but 6% of a small number still makes for a low VIX.
-

11.30am.. well, indexes have already recovered to some extent....although R2K is -0.7% still.

A bit of a messy Monday, certainly, nothing particularly enticing so far. No doubt, big action will come Thurs/Friday.

...and new index highs for the Trans, Dow, SP.

*I am guessing some of the wave counters out there would call this morning sub'4 of larger 3....with a bigger 4 - down sp'1900..later this week.

Regardless...for those short..this is annoying.