Wednesday 21 May 2014

2pm update - time for some fedspeak

US indexes are holding moderate gains, with the sp' a touch below key resistance of 1885/87. The FOMC minutes are due at 2pm, and that will give Mr Market another excuse to snap..one way or another. For those listening, there remain underlying tremors out there.


sp'60min


Summary

A break >1887..and a daily close in the 1890s..today..or tomorrow will be the target.
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A note on the VIX

VIX remains bizarrely low. On any basis. I have to believe VIX will be comfortably trading in the mid/upper 20s this summer

So..I am most certainly wanting to pick up a VIX call block at some point. Yet...there seems little point in the immediate term...not least ahead of a 3 day weekend.
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Ohh..and here is the wiki for 'fedspeak'. See..it is a real word ;)
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2.03pm.. more nonsense...and the market looks stuck under 1885...

Metals slipping, Gold -$11...


2.05pm... market clawing higher..and day-trading bears are getting kicked out...

R2K making a play to take out the morning high, hmmm


2.11pm.. hourly candle turning red.....and it is a spiky one, peaking at sp'1887.

Bulls beware!


2.14pm.. Hourly MACD cycle rolling over....if we close this hour <1882....could fall 8-10pts in the closing hour..which would make for a very bearish daily candle.

I'd almost be tempted to pick up a short position...


2.28pm.. chop chop....1884...closing hour should at least be entertaining to watch.

Lots of data tomorrow..and for the bears...no QE to worry about until next Tuesday.