Monday 21 April 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are a touch higher, sp +2pts, we're set to open at 1866. Metals are weak, Gold -$10, with Silver -1.6%. Equity bears should be seeking a minor retracement today, to 1850/45, but that will be difficult with sig' QE-pomo of $3-4bn.


sp'60min


Summary

It is a tricky day to call. Yes, the smaller cycles are all maxed out, and we're due to slip moderately lower. Yet, there is sig' QE, but more than that, the daily/weekly cycles are back to bullish.
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As noted at the weekend, all things considered - not least the weekly spike-floor candles for the R2K/Nasdaq, we will surely see further net gains this week.

It would seem unlikely that we will break sp'<1800 before late June...at the earliest. I realise for those still holding on the short from side from 1814, that is not the most inspiring of thoughts.
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Update from 'oldschoolchartist'



I don't often highlight the above poster, but I do keep an eye on his outlook. He is certainly not particularly biased, and that is always a good thing!
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Have a good week everyone!
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8.52am.. indexes turning negative, sp -1pt,  1863

9.21am.. minor chop to start the week, lets see if we can get a rollover on the hourly cycle, but still..with QE..it will be difficult today.


9.43am.. minor chop indeed, and no doubt, many are getting confused.

Hourly cycle...pressure down.
Daily/weekly...UP

On balance, you'd have to go with upside, right?   $3-4bn of QE..is going to help.