Monday, 24 March 2014

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are a little higher, sp +3pts, we're set to open at 1869. Metals are weak, Gold -$10, Silver -0.6%. With the Friday reversal from 1883, equity bears just need to break <1860, to open up a test of the 1845/35 zone, with VIX in the 17/18s.


sp'daily5


Summary

*awaiting PMI manu' data at 9.45am
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So, we're set to open a little higher, but we do have a short term double top of sp'1883. Bears just need to break <1860, to open up a trend/floor test in the 1845/35 zone.

If we somehow break <1830 this week, then we'll keep going, at least to the 1790s.

*no sig' QE-pomo until Wed', so the bears have a clear window of opportunity until early Wed' morning.

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Video update from Oscar



I would have to agree with Oscar that the primary trend is very much intact, However I find it difficult to envision a straight up move to the 2100s. Perhaps 1925/50, and then 1600s on a 'summer swoon', and then up into year end?

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As ever...updates across the week!

9.36am opening minor gains.

I will consider picking up a small SPY put block around 11am....give the bull maniacs a good hour to get exhausted.

VIX is lower, and indeed..it IS low, which at least makes buying index shorts..cheaper.

Metals weak, Gold -$16.