Thursday 24 October 2013

11am update - morning chop

The main indexes are moderately higher, but there is a touch of weakness in the air. Equity bears have a moderate chance of a break into the sp'1735/30 zone, which should hold as good support into the Friday close. Metals are building gains, Gold +$10, whilst Oil just keeps on sliding, -0.9%.


sp'60min


Summary

Best guess..a minor skirmish this morning, with the bears managing a further minor wave lower. It is difficult to guess whether yesterdays low of 1740 will be broken late today..or not until early tomorrow.

Certainly, there is a pack of econ-data tomorrow, and that would be a good excuse for the market to sell lower..if only briefly.
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*have you noticed how many (not least the cheer leaders on clown finance TV) are now starting to tout the declining Oil/gasoline prices as a 'green shoot' for the economy into next spring?

The mainstream is absolutely desperate for these equity markets to close the year on a very positive note, although they are right to note US gas prices in the low $3s would certainly help the Christmas retail trade.
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TSLA is bouncing


..but ANY break <160..and door opens to 110/100


11.35am... sp'1651...hmm, bears getting frustrated, as underlying strength continues.

Tricky day though, still risk of a little washout into early Friday, but with the weekly charts pushing higher into November, no point in taking any short trades.

*metals still building gains, Gold +$15. GLD in the 140s would be the natural target, and that is a good 10pts higher!