Monday 1 July 2013

2pm update - ...better than clown finance TV

The market is still holding rather significant gains, and baring a break <sp'1615, the bears are in serious trouble. Precious metals are significantly higher, although it does nothing to negate the bigger weekly/monthly down trends.


sp'daily5



sp'weekly7


Summary

Again, I'll highlight the bigger weekly chart. Its still holding a blue/neutral candle, but ANY daily close in the 1630s, will effectively destroy what little chance there remains of a further wave lower.
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*On any basis, its a 'sell/short-cover at any price', if we break/close >sp'1630.

Rather than watch the cheer leading maniacs talk about how 'Monday is the new Tuesday', how about....




Now, I'm sure you probably won't understand a word of what they're saying, but watching a revolution live..that's pretty interesting.


UPDATE 2.22pm.. sp'1618, hmm, marginally interesting.

Still, bears really need sub 1615s, to have any moderate hope for Tuesday. Even then, what matters is a daily close back <1600..which looks a tall order on any outlook.

VIX appears to have floored @ 16.00, but its going to take one hell of a strong kick higher, just to get close to 20. Considering its holiday week, I just don't see that as viable.