3pm update - closing at the highs?

The small 15min cycle is arguably floored, and it merely makes for a very clean baby bull flag. As is often the case in such situations, do not be surprised if the closing hour candle is a rather large spike to the upside. Bulls should be very pleased with the recovery from sp'1598


sp'15min

sp'60min

Summary

A minor down cycle to shake out the weak bulls, and now we look set for a rally into the close.

No doubt, some will still believe this is just a 'minor bounce' after the 1598 floor, but I'm guessing..no. This looks like the early stages of another significant up wave, although its still very possible we'll put in a lower high < 1687.
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Regardless, I will hold LONG indexes, into next week.

I'm pretty confident the sp'1650/60s will be hit by middle of next week. That will make for a far better exit.

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Fib chart, suggestive, next target is 1652 for Monday

I'll glad exit early Monday in the low 1650s
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Best case upside for the close 1645/47. I suppose 1652 is possible, but really, thats going to take one hell of a short squeeze to end the week.

*actually, if we saw 1650s today, I'll bail !

UPDATE 3.24pm  sp'1639...won't take much to spike this into the close.

Come on bears, start covering ..at any price ;)


3.38pm, well, VIX is melting lower (as normal)..markets trying to break higher..and I'm tired.

Its been a long week! back at the close.