Thursday 10 January 2013

1pm update - tiresome Thursday

The market is holding onto slight gains..yet again. We've come within 4-5pts of breaking the Sept' QE highs of sp'1474. Although of course, the Transports and R2K are already far beyond those levels. VIX looks floored on the daily charts in the 14/13 zone..upside remains 16/18.


dow'60min



vix'60min


Summary

The weather is matching my mood today, and the fact we're higher..that does nothing to help.

A possible double micro-top on the Dow, but that's highly unreliable on such time scales.

The only thing the bears really have left is that the VIX is already smashed so low, it really can't go much lower (at least in this cycle). On any basis, the VIX is due a little spike higher, even if its just briefly to the low 16s.

Yet, its taking too long, and the longer we remain at these levels..consolidating sideways, the bulls can be even more confident of further gains into February
.