Tuesday, 18 September 2012

10am update - rolling over..still

Good morning. The daily cycle continues to slowly rollover. Certainly, its nothing dramatic, and we could even chop around sideways for a few more days.

First soft support is 1450, I can't see that holding for long, and that will open up a little swift drop to 1440/30 zone. It is going to be very difficult to break 1420.





It certainly appears that 1474 was the peak of the most recent up cycle, so the only issue now is how far do we drop.

The bears desperately need a break under 1397, and I just can't see that as viable in this cycle.

The best thing the bears can hope for right now is that we put in a lower high later next week/early October.

VIX remains flat, but the daily cycle looks like its floored, the current outlook would be for a sharper decline in the indexes next Monday/Tuesday - assuming a new VIX up cycle is now underway.

I remain short, seeking an exit around 1440/30

Back at 12pm