Wednesday 20 June 2012

12pm update - FOMC hour

Tis the most important hour of the day, week, month..and possibly this summer.


sp'15min



sp'60min



Summary

The 15min cycle is low, there IS significant room for a spike/re-test to yesterdays peak of 1363. If 1363 is broken..a quick move to 1370/75 is possible.

So long as I don't hear the phrase 'Fed balance sheet expansion', I will be confident to short the peak of the nezt 15min cycle..that could come as early as 1pm.
---
...standing by.

UPDATE

12.35

QE-twist extended to end 2012.
--
so...... NO QE3
NO 'expanded balance sheet'

I will short this market at top of the next 15min cycle...late this afternoon, or early tomorrow.