Tuesday 15 December 2015

10am update - mind the gap

US equities open significantly higher, and are already in the gap zone around sp'2050. There is very strong resistance here, and a touch of weakness ahead of the FOMC Wed' 2pm announcement is probable. What is increasingly clear, 1993 is likely a key low for the remainder of the year.


sp'60min



VIX'60min



Summary

*note the VIX, filling the price gap.... with equities mirroring.
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So.. opening gains.. much stronger than expected... and we're clearly seeing a fair few of the bears spooked.

I can understand if some want to short here.. with a downside target of 1950... but I can't see that as likely.

Right now.. the Fed look set to raise rates.. but probably by just a tenth (10bps) and that will give the market the excuse to rally into early 2016.

*ultimate issue remains.... the equity bulls MUST break new highs in the next multi-week up cycle.

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notable strength...

DIS, daily


A second net daily gain looks due... just a matter of days before 115/117... as the Star Wars hysteria goes into hyperspace.
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stay tuned