Tuesday 11 February 2014

1pm update - weekly charts turning outright bullish

US equities are holding borderline significant gains, with the sp'500 above the important 50 day MA of 1809, confirmed with the VIX that continues to melt lower, -5% in the low 14s. Notable strength in the precious metals...as reflected in the miners.


sp'weekly8


GDX, daily


Summary

*GDX breaks the 200day MA, first time since Jan'2013, a pretty major break through. How metals/miners close the month will now be paramount.
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So...the market has coped with Yellen..but there is also the US Senate this Thursday morning.

The weekly 'rainbow' charts are really turning in favour of the equity bulls, and we're seeing the sp'500 flip to a green candle, confirming last weeks blue..as a turn.

Best guess..a key inter'3 top..late March/April...monthly charts will be offering the low 1900s next month..which is a disturbing thought.

The 'big short'....target will be 1900s...down to 1625/1575....some time in the Aug-Oct' time frame.
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Anyway...back to the near term action...


1.03pm...and Yellen is still at it, but I'm sure they wrap up any minute..for 30mins, and then a tranche of other Fed officials will appear.


1.16pm... a fierce market....sp'1818...a mere 32pts from breaking a new historic high....incredible!

Notable strength in IRBT, +16%...upside target is the $50 psy' level.


1.36pm bulls battling for dow 16000, not that its 'necessary' today.