Thursday 1 August 2013

Daily Index Cycle update

The market saw a rather choppy day, after the FOMC again confirmed..'nothing changes'. Whilst the sp' closed effectively flat, the market leaders - Trans/R2K, still managed moderate gains of 0.2% and 0.6% respectively. Near term trend is still somewhat to the upside.


sp'daily5


R2K


Trans


Summary

Well, no one can say today was 'boring'. The morning strength, with a spike to sp'1698..really suggested a close in the 1700s was likely..but no.

Once again the bulls failed to close above a very obvious psy' level, but I have to note, considering the strength still being seen in the Trans/R2K, I'm going to hold to the original target of sp'1710/20s within the near term.

Indeed, another 'small' up cycle will set up some perfect divergences across many indexes into next week...and that is where I believe the next super-short trade opportunity will be.

*I remain entirely on the sidelines..and seeking an index short from the sp'1710/20s, right now that seems viable by this Friday, but I'm in no hurry to take on a heavy short position across the weekend.

a little more later...