Tuesday 30 April 2013

2pm update - bots still able to melt this

Market is holding just a fraction below the April'11 high of 1597.35, but then, the Nasdaq is already above that high. The only weakness out there now is in the Oil/Gas market. VIX still failing to show any power, and a close in the 14s now looks out of range.


sp'60min



vix'60min


Summary

Not much to say really. Might close in the 1600s, might not.

All that is clear, is that there is simply no power on the downside. Sure we could drop into the 1580s again, but that counts for nothing.

Perhaps the weakness in the Oil market is a tiny preliminary sign for the main market, but that is stretching things, even for a permabear.


Oil does look 'done' on the daily charts...

USO, daily2


Target would be <32 within 3-5 days
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2.20pm..those bears seeking a weak close, should be desperate to see a clear VIX break, with a close >14.50.. and sp under the morning low of 1586. The latter looks especially difficult.