Friday, 14 June 2019

Transient Sympathy

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, sp -4.7pts (0.2%) at 2886. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow -0.1%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.4% and -0.9% respectively.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, pressured via most other world markets. Price action quickly slipped into micro chop mode. The closing hour broke a new intraday high of 2894, but there was a touch of cooling into the weekend. Volatility was subdued, only seeing a high of 16.40, and settling -3.4% at 15.28.


Meanwhile, Trump continues to bash Fed chair Powell...

"We call it quantitative tightening. If he didn't do tightening, if he did nothing, or perhaps even loosened, we would be, in my opinion - just an opinion - 10,000 points higher than already a very high number".


Full clip; see https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1139512541850349568

I can't but wonder what Powell makes of this. Will he capitulate to the US President, cut rates faster and deeper, and also spin up the printers earlier than almost anyone expects? Or will he be inclined to resist? As a sideshow issue, its kinda entertaining. For the record, Powell has my sympathy, if only transient.
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The first sunny day in a week

Another arrival to the land of geo-political chaos

Full moon... Monday June 17th
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Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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Thursday, 13 June 2019

Thursday gains

US equity indexes settled broadly higher, sp +11pts (0.4%) at 2891. Nasdaq comp' +0.6%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +1.0% and +1.1% respectively.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, but the gains were rather shaky. The chop continued into the late afternoon, with a closing hour mini spike from 2882 to settle at 2892.

Volatility was subdued, with the VIX cooling for the 6th day of 8, settling -0.6% at 15.82. The s/t cyclical setup is somewhat mixed. The daily cycles aren't offering the equity bears anything until at least next Tues/Wed'.

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Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Midweek weak chop

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, sp -5pts (0.2%) at 2879. Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.5% and u/c respectively. Near term outlook offers Thursday choppy upside, with some viable drama on Friday.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode. Price action remained pretty subdued, but leaning on the weaker side.

Volatility itself was subdued, with the VIX settling -0.5% at 15.91. The s/t cyclical setup favours the bulls on Thursday, and any 'drama', can be put back to Friday.

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Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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