US equities closed moderately higher, sp +9pts @ 1959. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled higher by 0.9% and 0.8% respectively. Near term outlook is for moderate downside to 1940/35.. before renewed upside into July.
sp'60min
Summary
*Time for another pair of games... I'm going with the French game
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Despite failing to roll lower into the close, it makes little difference.
Price structure is a very clear bear flag - call it a B wave if you like, and we're set for lower levels tomorrow. I'd not be surprised if we see sp'1940/35 tomorrow at some point, as part of a mini washout.
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I'll post a full daily wrap at 8pm EST.
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time for Ecuador vs France!
Wednesday, 25 June 2014
3pm update - weakness into the close
US equities are holding moderate gains, but look set for weakness into the close. Price structure is a near perfect bear flag, and equity bears should be seeking a break under 1955 to confirm a new way down is underway. Primary downside target remains 1940/35.
sp'60min
Summary
Well... 15/5min cycles are PRIME for breaking lower into the close.
Lets see how many of the rats want to exit into the close.
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3.05pm... early warning sign... rolling over.... 1956
3.19pm.. micro chop...but the setup is there... we're due to fall from here...although downside is a mere 1%...not much more than that.
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3.25pm.. a micro double top at 1958 ?
Regardless, we are due to fall....
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notable strength: FB +2.5%
3.30pm... I see a double top....... invalid if 1959 ..
come on bears..where are you?
3.34pm.. they are selling the 1958s
.. 1959... fail. oh well.
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3.39pm... and the short stops are getting hit... 1960..... VIX -5.9%...
3.46pm sp'1960... and just no downside pressure, but price structure remains a VERY clear bear flag.
3.52pm... so...still a bear flag.. and I'll be seeking sp'500 to lose 20/25pts in the near term.. by the Friday close.
sp'60min
Summary
Well... 15/5min cycles are PRIME for breaking lower into the close.
Lets see how many of the rats want to exit into the close.
-
3.05pm... early warning sign... rolling over.... 1956
3.19pm.. micro chop...but the setup is there... we're due to fall from here...although downside is a mere 1%...not much more than that.
-
3.25pm.. a micro double top at 1958 ?
Regardless, we are due to fall....
-
notable strength: FB +2.5%
3.30pm... I see a double top....... invalid if 1959 ..
come on bears..where are you?
3.34pm.. they are selling the 1958s
.. 1959... fail. oh well.
-
3.39pm... and the short stops are getting hit... 1960..... VIX -5.9%...
3.46pm sp'1960... and just no downside pressure, but price structure remains a VERY clear bear flag.
3.52pm... so...still a bear flag.. and I'll be seeking sp'500 to lose 20/25pts in the near term.. by the Friday close.
2pm update - churning before the next wave lower
US equities are holding moderate gains, but another down wave is likely in the near term.. possibly beginning before the close of today. Primary downside remains 1940/35 zone.. from where the market should rally into July.
sp'60min
Summary
A lightly labelled chart, and I am guessing we'll see a C wave begin late today...or tomorrow...it really makes little difference.
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So...two hours to go...lets see if we roll over again.
sp'60min
Summary
A lightly labelled chart, and I am guessing we'll see a C wave begin late today...or tomorrow...it really makes little difference.
--
So...two hours to go...lets see if we roll over again.
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