With chronically low trading volume, the algo-bots are in total control, and it is the default 'melt upward' action that is going to kill the VIX lower across the entire week. VIX closed slightly lower, -1.5% @ 12.66 Baring some 'major news/event', volatility looks set to stay low across the summer.
VIX'60min
VIX'daily3
Summary
So, VIX is in the 12s, and the 11s look a given at some point this week.
The only issue is whether we see 10s, which I think would be the lowest level since Spring 2007.
--
In fact, the grander issue of the summer is arguably whether we'll see VIX <10, before this relentless equity rally from Oct'2011 is complete.
--
more later..on those melting indexes
Monday, 6 May 2013
Closing Brief
The main indexes (except Dow) all closed moderately higher, lead by the Transports. As expected, the algo-bots appear to have total free reign over the market, and that looks set to continue for the entire week, if not a few 'months'.
sp'60min
Summary
What to say about this day of nothing?
...dull.
--
*As an options player, I can only console myself knowing that last Fridays exit was a good idea. Premium is being eroded on everything.
--
The daily, weekly, monthly charts are ALL bullish.
Even as a permabear....I can't deny what this twisted market is back to, and it sure don't look like its headed down any time soon.
I realise a fair few out there are seeking a turn at current levels, but..I just don't see that happening anymore. Bears had their chance...and failed.
--
Minor bits and pieces across the evening.
sp'60min
Summary
What to say about this day of nothing?
...dull.
--
*As an options player, I can only console myself knowing that last Fridays exit was a good idea. Premium is being eroded on everything.
--
The daily, weekly, monthly charts are ALL bullish.
Even as a permabear....I can't deny what this twisted market is back to, and it sure don't look like its headed down any time soon.
I realise a fair few out there are seeking a turn at current levels, but..I just don't see that happening anymore. Bears had their chance...and failed.
--
Minor bits and pieces across the evening.
3pm update - Transports holding strong gains
Whilst the headline indexes (Dow, SP, Nasdaq) are only moderately higher, it is the old leader - Transports, that is again leading the way, +1.4% in the 6300s. Is it really too much to envision the tranny in the low 7000s within 3-4 months?
Trans' weekly
Summary
Near zero volume...thus ..as expected, the algo-bots are in total control.
Absolutely NO reason why tomorrow will be any different.
--
back at the close to summarise todays 'nothing'.
Trans' weekly
Summary
Near zero volume...thus ..as expected, the algo-bots are in total control.
Absolutely NO reason why tomorrow will be any different.
--
back at the close to summarise todays 'nothing'.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)



