Wednesday, 2 October 2019

Wednesday washout

US equity indexes closed very significantly lower, sp -52pts (1.8%) at 2887. Nasdaq comp' -1.6%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -2.3% and -0.9% respectively. Near term outlook offers a bounce to the 2924/40 zone.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened broadly lower, and spiralled into the afternoon, with the SPX printing a low of 2874. The late afternoon saw a bounce to 2897, but settling at 2887.

Meanwhile...


With the US President more focused on the impeachment issue, he is mostly too busy to take a swipe at the fed, but is clearly watching equities closely.

Volatility spiked, with the VIX printing 21.46, and settling +10.8% at 20.56. S/t outlook offers a bounce to the new upside gap of 2924/40.  
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Its 100% autumn

Air China descending into the land of geo-political chaos

Autumn chill, but at least its sunny

Next full moon is Oct'13th
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Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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Tuesday, 1 October 2019

Reversal on recessionary data

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, sp -36pts (1.2%) at 2940. Nasdaq comp' -1.1%. Dow -1.3% The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -2.4% and -2.0% respectively.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened on a moderately positive note, with the SPX printing an early high of 2992. However, the ISM manufacturing print of 47.8, was well below the recessionary threshold of 50.0. All aspects of the capital markets were rattled, with a rather powerful downside reversal, with an afternoon low of 2939.

Meanwhile, after a record nine days (no doubt busy with 'other things')...


Many recognise that the US President has his chosen scapegoat for any bad econ-data or equity downside, that might appear between now and the Nov'2020 election.

Volatility saw an early low of 15.79, but spiked, with the VIX settling +14.3% at 18.56. S/t outlook offers the sp'2920s with VIX 19/20s.


Good news for traders/investors

The Santolli of CNBC

Charles Schwab will end commissions from next Monday, Oct'7th. The only minor annoyance is they are keeping a 65cent charge for each option contract. More broadly though, today was very good news.

Robinhood have clearly pressured the mainstream brokerages to proceed towards zero. The irony is that today's Schwab decision will cause some problems for the looming Robinhood IPO. I'd not be surprised if they even cancel it. 
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London saw a day of fierce showers, with lightning bolts and localised floods. With no sunset or moon shots, here is something....

Sunrise, NYC. Home Alone'2 (1992).
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Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
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Monday, 30 September 2019

Another quarter settles

US equity indexes settled September/Q3 on a positive note, sp +14pts (0.5%) at 2976.  Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.4%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, both settled +0.2%.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities ended September/Q3 on a positive note, with the SPX moderately higher by 14pts (0.5%) to 2976. The s/t downward trend remains intact though, as price remains moderately negative.

Volatility was in melt mode, with the VIX settling -5.7% at 16.24. S/t outlook leans to another swing lower, with prime target of the sp'2920s with VIX 19/20.

--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk

Goodnight from London
--
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For details and the latest offers, see: permabeardoomster.com