It was a bullish month for world equity
markets, with net monthly gains
ranging from 8.9% (Brazil), 4.7% (USA), 4.1% (Germany), +3.5% (France), 2.6% (Spain), 1.6% (Russia), 1.2% (Australia), 1.1% (Japan), 1.0% (China), to 0.5% (Greece) Near term outlook offers further upside into Sept/Oct.
Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets
USA - Dow
The mighty Dow gained 1143pts (4.7%) to settle July at 25415. Note the monthly settlement above the key 10MA. Underlying macd (green bar histogram) is seeing the downward swing in price momentum from January level out. A bearish macd cross is currently being avoided, and this bodes well for at least another few months.
Germany – DAX
The economic powerhouse of the EU - Germany, saw the DAX +499pts (4.1%) to 12805, notably above the key 10MA. We have a very clear divergence between price momentum and actual price across 2015>2018. Things would turn exceptionally bearish if core rising trend is broken, and in August that is currently around 11800s.
Japan – Nikkei
Japanese equities gained 249pts (1.1%) to 22553. The m/t trend remains bullish. The long term outlook remains 'beyond problematic', as a demographic collapse is inevitable.
China – Shanghai comp'
Chinese equities swung from an intra month low of 2691, to settle +29pts (1.0%) at 2876. The July candle offers a spike floor, having cooled from January. The Friday Aug'3rd close of 2740 is a problem though.
Brazil – Bovespa
After a rough May/June, the Bovespa caught a very powerful bounce, settling +6457pts (8.9%) to 79220. Despite the gain, monthly price momentum is negative, for the first time since early 2016.
Russia - RTSI
The Russian equity market gained 19pts (1.6%) to 1173. The 1200 threshold remains key. Higher energy prices would really help this market.
France – CAC
The CAC settled +187pts (3.5%) to 5511, notably back above the key 10MA. Next big target is the June 2007 high of 6168.
Spain – IBEX
The Spanish market gained 248pts (2.6%) to 9870. The m/t trend remains bearish from early 2017. Note giant resistance of 12k. Things would turn extremely bearish <8500, but that is a long way down.
Australia – AORD
Australian equities climbed for a fourth consecutive month, breaking a new multi-year high, gaining 76pts (1.2%) to 6366.
Greece - Athex
The economic basket-case of the EU - Greece, gained 3pts (0.5%) to 761, notably under the key 10MA. The Athex is a perfect reflection of a Greek economy that never recovered from the global financial crisis of 2008/09.
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Summary
All ten world equity markets saw net July gains.
Brazil, USA, and Germany lead the way higher, with China and Greece lagging.
The m/t outlook offers at least another 2-3 months of upside.
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Looking ahead
Earnings season continues, notably: TWLO, SNAP, DIS, ROKU, DBX
M -
T - Consumer credit (3pm)
W - EIA Pet' report
T - Weekly jobs, PPI, Wholesale trade
F - CPI, US T-budget
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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 6pm EDT on Monday.
Saturday, 4 August 2018
Friday, 3 August 2018
A fifth week higher
US equity indexes closed the week on a positive note, sp +13pts (0.5%)
at 2840. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.4% and -0.5%
respectively. Near term outlook offers another s/t rollover, as the sp'2760s
remain long overdue.
sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
Yesterday's daily candles did lean for further s/t upside, and that did largely play out today. The sp' settled moderately higher, with the VIX melting lower into the weekend.
sp'weekly
The sp' saw a fifth consecutive net weekly gain, with the sp +21pts (0.8%) at 2840.
--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk
Goodnight from London
--
*the weekend post will appear Sat'12pm EDT, and will detail ten of the world equity markets.
--
If you value my work, subscribe to me.
For details: https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.co.uk/p/subscriptions.html
sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
Yesterday's daily candles did lean for further s/t upside, and that did largely play out today. The sp' settled moderately higher, with the VIX melting lower into the weekend.
sp'weekly
The sp' saw a fifth consecutive net weekly gain, with the sp +21pts (0.8%) at 2840.
--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk
Goodnight from London
--
*the weekend post will appear Sat'12pm EDT, and will detail ten of the world equity markets.
--
If you value my work, subscribe to me.
For details: https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.co.uk/p/subscriptions.html
Thursday, 2 August 2018
One trillion dollars
US equity indexes closed on a positive note, sp +13pts (0.5%) at 2827
(intra low 2796). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.6% and +0.7%
respectively. Near term outlook offers another cooling wave back to
support of sp'2796/95.
sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
US equities opened moderately weak, but there was an opening reversal, and the market clawed upward across the day. The sp' settled with a bullish engulfing candle, which does lean to s/t upside. VIX swung from the mid 14s to the low 12s.
Basic technical necessity remains sp'2768, but the s/t outlook is conflicted, as today's settling candles are suggestive of further strength, against daily price momentum that still leans to the bears.
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The trillion dollar tech monster
Today was Apple's day, as it became the first one trillion dollar company.
AAPL, 1983-2018
First, keep in mind that the AAPL IPO was Dec'1980, but my data only starts from 1984. In any case, things really only got interesting from March 2009 onward. The next $1trn stocks: AMZN, GOOGL, and MSFT. Would that make for the 'four horseman'?
--
Any excuse...
--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk
Goodnight from London
--
If you value my work, subscribe to me.
For details: https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.co.uk/p/subscriptions.html
sp'daily5
VIX'daily3
Summary
US equities opened moderately weak, but there was an opening reversal, and the market clawed upward across the day. The sp' settled with a bullish engulfing candle, which does lean to s/t upside. VIX swung from the mid 14s to the low 12s.
Basic technical necessity remains sp'2768, but the s/t outlook is conflicted, as today's settling candles are suggestive of further strength, against daily price momentum that still leans to the bears.
--
The trillion dollar tech monster
Today was Apple's day, as it became the first one trillion dollar company.
AAPL, 1983-2018
First, keep in mind that the AAPL IPO was Dec'1980, but my data only starts from 1984. In any case, things really only got interesting from March 2009 onward. The next $1trn stocks: AMZN, GOOGL, and MSFT. Would that make for the 'four horseman'?
--
Any excuse...
--
Extra charts in AH (usually around 7pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk
Goodnight from London
--
If you value my work, subscribe to me.
For details: https://permabeardoomster.blogspot.co.uk/p/subscriptions.html
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