Friday, 3 August 2018

A fifth week higher

US equity indexes closed the week on a positive note, sp +13pts (0.5%) at 2840. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.4% and -0.5% respectively. Near term outlook offers another s/t rollover, as the sp'2760s remain long overdue.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

Yesterday's daily candles did lean for further s/t upside, and that did largely play out today. The sp' settled moderately higher, with the VIX melting lower into the weekend.

sp'weekly


The sp' saw a fifth consecutive net weekly gain, with the sp +21pts (0.8%) at 2840.

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Goodnight from London
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*the weekend post will appear Sat'12pm EDT, and will detail ten of the world equity markets.
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Thursday, 2 August 2018

One trillion dollars

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, sp +13pts (0.5%) at 2827 (intra low 2796). The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.6% and +0.7% respectively. Near term outlook offers another cooling wave back to support of sp'2796/95.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened moderately weak, but there was an opening reversal, and the market clawed upward across the day. The sp' settled with a bullish engulfing candle, which does lean to s/t upside. VIX swung from the mid 14s to the low 12s.

Basic technical necessity remains sp'2768, but the s/t outlook is conflicted, as today's settling candles are suggestive of further strength, against daily price momentum that still leans to the bears.
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The trillion dollar tech monster

Today was Apple's day, as it became the first one trillion dollar company. 

AAPL, 1983-2018


First, keep in mind that the AAPL IPO was Dec'1980, but my data only starts from 1984. In any case, things really only got interesting from March 2009 onward. The next $1trn stocks: AMZN, GOOGL, and MSFT. Would that make for the 'four horseman'?
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Any excuse...



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Wednesday, 1 August 2018

Midweek Chop

US equity indexes closed moderately mixed, sp -2pts (0.1%) at 2813. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.8% and -0.1% respectively. Near term outlook continues to offer technical necessity of 2768, before resuming strongly upward.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode, leaning on the positive side. The sp' managed to choppily claw to 2825, but then got stuck just under a few aspects of resistance. There was a moderate rollover into the mid afternoon, before a late afternoon (largely weak) mini ramp. The daily close leans bearish into Thursday.

Volatility continues to increase, with the VIX settling higher for the third day of four. S/t outlook offers the sp'2760s, which would likely equate to VIX 15/16s.

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