Good morning. Futures are moderately lower, sp -7pts, we're set to open at 2043. Metals are bouncing, Gold +$5. Oil is cooling, -1.3%.
sp'daily5
Summary
*ADP jobs: 213k vs 220k market exp'
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So, we're set to open a little lower, but that is understandable after a 2 day swing of a pretty incredible 70pts.
There remains key resistance of sp'2064... if the bulls can break over that (not that there is a hurry)... then market looks set for new historic highs.
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Update from Oscar...
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Notable movers
GM, +3.5% on much stronger earnings, around 50% better than expected.
DIS, +4%, superb earnings
CMG -6.3%... earnings
WYNN -3.7%... huge rev' drop of 30% in Macau
TWTR, +2%... continuing to climb ahead of Thursday earnings
Good wishes for Wednesday
Wednesday, 4 February 2015
Conflicting equity cycles
Whilst the US equity market saw a second day of rather strong gains, from a purely technical perspective, it remains a mess. The monthly cycle is holding the bearish cross achieved last week, whilst the weekly cycles are now outright bullish. All the bulls need to do now is break above next resistance of sp'2064.
sp'monthly
sp'weekly7
Summary
A tiresome... and somewhat annoying day.
As for the equity cycles... monthly MACD bearish cross remains intact... which is somewhat impressive considering the move to sp'2050.
What is clear, any break above key resistance of 2064 will likely turn even the monthly cycles back to bullish.. negating all the bearish hopes in recent weeks.
The fact the weekly cycle has already turned outright bullish green should greatly concern those currently holding short.
**Bonus chart to end the day....
UK - FTSE, monthy
Just 129pts to break the historic high of Dec'1999... and hit the giant 7k threshold. As noted this past weekend, any monthly close in the 7000s will open up 9k by end year... which of course would be part of the 'hyper-bullish' outlook for the EU markets
Considering the ECB QE-pomo program hasn't even begun yet... the laggy FTSE index is on the edge of what would be an extremely bullish signal.. not just for other EU markets.. but the US.
Looking ahead
Wed' has the ADP jobs data in pre-market, PMI/ISM service sector data.
*there are two fed officials on the loose... and those maniacs have arguably been impacting market mood/prices in the last few days.
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Goodnight from London
sp'monthly
sp'weekly7
Summary
A tiresome... and somewhat annoying day.
As for the equity cycles... monthly MACD bearish cross remains intact... which is somewhat impressive considering the move to sp'2050.
What is clear, any break above key resistance of 2064 will likely turn even the monthly cycles back to bullish.. negating all the bearish hopes in recent weeks.
The fact the weekly cycle has already turned outright bullish green should greatly concern those currently holding short.
**Bonus chart to end the day....
UK - FTSE, monthy
Just 129pts to break the historic high of Dec'1999... and hit the giant 7k threshold. As noted this past weekend, any monthly close in the 7000s will open up 9k by end year... which of course would be part of the 'hyper-bullish' outlook for the EU markets
Considering the ECB QE-pomo program hasn't even begun yet... the laggy FTSE index is on the edge of what would be an extremely bullish signal.. not just for other EU markets.. but the US.
Looking ahead
Wed' has the ADP jobs data in pre-market, PMI/ISM service sector data.
*there are two fed officials on the loose... and those maniacs have arguably been impacting market mood/prices in the last few days.
--
Goodnight from London
Daily Index Cycle update
US equities saw a second day of gains, sp +29pts @ 2050. The two
leaders - Trans/R2K, settled higher by a rather significant 1.5% and 1.8% respectively. Near term
outlook remains highly uncertain, whilst market remains under key
resistance of 2064.
sp'daily5
Dow
Summary
Little to add.
A second consecutive day of gains, and the daily close above the 50dma for the Dow and sp'500 is rather bullish..
All that is left now is the resistance at sp'2064. A weekly close above that.. and it will negate all the recent choppy weakness. Bears... beware.
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Closing update from Riley
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a little more later...
sp'daily5
Summary
Little to add.
A second consecutive day of gains, and the daily close above the 50dma for the Dow and sp'500 is rather bullish..
All that is left now is the resistance at sp'2064. A weekly close above that.. and it will negate all the recent choppy weakness. Bears... beware.
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Closing update from Riley
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a little more later...
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