2pm update - muted Monday

There is very slight weakness in the main market, but really, its a day of largely sideways micro-chop. Dollar and VIX remain mute, only the metals are showing any significant action to the downside.


sp'daily5

vix'daily3

GLD, daily

Summary

In terms of VIX, even the 16s look a long way up. Just to see VIX 16s, we'll probably need sp'1480, if not 1470, and right now, that looks very difficult.

Indeed, by the end of this week, key rising support will be around 1465, and end Feb' will be 1480.

There remains very powerful underlying strength in the US markets -  as I think I highlighted a week ago on the world index weekend update. There is open air of 15-20% for most indexes..which gets us to the sp'1600s..if not 1700s by early summer.

Until the POMO stops..I just can't see any chance of a sustained down trend.


VIX update, from Mr T.



Looks like someone is picking up some cheap 18-20 call blocks. I sure can't see VIX'20 this side of the spring. Maybe in May though.

*its a quiet day, so..updates more sporadic.
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back after the close..unless something dramatic happens before then (if only).

12pm update - rollover on the weekly?

The main market seems muted..no doubt partly due to the snow in the NE. The big weekly index charts offer a lot of empty air to the downside, but as has been the case for months..the bears have no power. Metals remain the highlight of the morning...significantly lower.


sp'weekly2, rainbow

slv,weekly2, rainbow

Summary

Not much to say, market seems lost..its just a holding-pattern day.

There is of course endless POMO $ floating around this market, so every micro-dip is being bought up.
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Metals are indeed lower, and my target for SLV remains 28.50..that'd make for a nice exit..and then long into the early summer..to the 38/40s.

back a little later.

10am update - another week of POMO

Good morning, and welcome to another POMO fuelled week of the most rigged casino in the world. Mr Market is due to cycle marginally lower, as pressured by the hourly cycle, yet it'll surely just put in yet another higher low in this cycle. Dollar is a touch higher, metals noticeably lower.


sp'60min

slv'60min

Summary

Not much going on really, and with 4/5 days being POMO fuelled, there is little reason to expect any significant..and persistant downside.