Monday, 2 April 2012

Another Bullish Monday

Okay... not the most exciting of days, but it'll do. The early minor opening decline...as expected..failed..and then another slow motion melt up. I can only imagine how annoyed some of the bears were again with today. There are such a lot of dire econ-news stories out there right now - especially about Spain, but the markets are relentless.

Sp'60min cycle...



VIX' 60min


VIX, double cycle lower, trying.. to claw up..but could just easily fail again at the Tuesday open. Again, whilst we're still under 20, this is all noise.


Tuesday?

The hourly index cycles look toppy, but we could easily open up again Tuesday. I'm not meddling.. I dropped a call block earlier, so..no positions to start tomorrow. There is econ-data all this week..including the  big jobs data Friday -but we're closed then anyway.

more later...probably.

Smaller cycles..are maxed

Brief update...

exited calls earlier..so..now I'm watching....

SP'60min cycle



Tempting to take a short position this afternoon, but primary trend remains UP

More later.

Sunday, 1 April 2012

Big Bear is still in warm and fuzzy mood

It is another sleepy Sunday in the city of London, despite the glorious sunshine, there is still a little chill in the air. Yet those 'Green Shoots' sure are appearing everywhere. Soon the city will look its finest, before the long decay all the way into the grey and depressing winter.

I noticed this short video earlier....
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=0d7_1333291679


 Mr Bear will not always be so playful..this year


It is always somewhat bizarre to see such a huge animal acting so playful and sweet. The 'market bear' (would its name be Pee-Three?), has indeed been very playful and happily submissive since last October.


How many more months of the warm and fuzzy bear to go?

Lets take a look at the Sp'500, monthly


Ask anyone - not part of the chart fraternity 'which way is this market headed?', and they'd doubtless say up. The chart above is about as simple as it gets. I'm just assuming the current wave takes us to the upper channel line that was established from May'2010 to May'2011. I realise many out there will get all riled up over such a simplistic outlook, but hey...I like simple. I have added a standard Fib' extension, which interestingly points to the 1550 target.

As I've posted a few times in the last few days, I'm real tired of things. I'm real tired of overly complicated theories, of counts (yeah, I'm guilty of that a bit), and just plain relentless 'top calling'. I'm sticking with simple, its as.....err....simple as that really.


Spin the Wheel

The Futures wheel spins up in 5 hours, lets see if they wanna tease the big bear with a little down move of say 0.5/0.75%...or, if they wanna whack him in the head with a wooden bat...aka.. SP+12/15pts (for no good reason). New week, new month...new quarter. Lets hope its at least...entertaining :)

Enjoy the evening.