Thursday 9 May 2019

Ongoing trade concerns

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, sp -8pts (0.3%) at 2870 (intra low 2836). Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. Dow -0.5%. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled -0.1% and -0.3% respectively.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

Wednesday evening saw Trump hold another rally...


... talk of 'they broke the deal' gave the algo-bots yet another excuse to whack futures lower. Equities opened broadly weak, and quickly took out the Tuesday low of 2862. Late morning saw a low of 2836, just 2pts shy of fully filling legacy gap of 2848/34. The lunchtime hour saw a powerful swing upward on more Trump trade chatter, with the afternoon seeing the SPX coming close to turning positive.

Volatility broke a high of 23.38, the highest print since Jan'4th, back when Print Central was in the early phase of threatening to end QT. VIX settled -1.5% at 19.10. The s/t cyclical setup favours the bulls for early Friday... when UBER are set to list.

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Goodnight from London
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