Friday 29 June 2018

End month window dressing

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, sp +2pts (0.1%) at 2718. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.3% and -0.1% respectively. VIX settled -4.5% at 16.09. Near term outlook offers Monday weakness, but the Thurs' low of 2691 looks pretty secure.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, and it was arguably just a standard case of window dressing for end month/quarter/half. The closing hour was rather ugly, resulting in a black-fail candle. The s/t cyclical setup for Monday strongly favours the equity bears, although I don't see the Thursday low being taken out.

Volatility was mostly subdued, but climbed into the weekend, with the VIX settling in the low 16s.
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Goodnight from London
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