Wednesday 18 April 2018

3pm update - awaiting AXP

US equities remain a little choppy, with the s/t cyclical setup leaning weak into the close. Due in AH, earnings from AXP, which should help to keep everyone awake... not least yours truly. VIX is battling to avoid a seventh consecutive net daily decline. Oil has seen a renewed push upward, +3.1% in the mid $68s.


sp'60min



VIX'60min



Summary

The hourly equity cycle is offering a bearish macd cross into the close, which does lean to the equity bears. Note the lower hourly bollinger at 2666, and that will offer big support in the 2680/70s tomorrow.

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notable stock: AXP ,daily


American Express has earnings in AH, and they should be good, but far superior alts are MA and V, whose profit margins are massively better by 5-6x.

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notable strength: MU, daily



After an early morning smack down (for no good reason, other than LRCX weakness), Micron is set for sig' net daily gains.
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weakness, IBM, daily


An ugly post earnings sell down in IBM, which we've seen in a very select set of stocks so far this earnings season. Underlying valuation remains cheap, but INTC, CSCO, MU... far superior.
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strength, BABA, daily


As there is increasing mainstream attention in this one. Notable call activity in the May 195/200s today.

back at the close...