Thursday 6 June 2013

2pm update - another minor rally attempt

The main indexes are still weak, but there is significant risk of upside into the Friday close. Bears have hit their primary target gap zone of sp'1600/1598. All things considered, a multi-day ramp looks imminent.


sp'60min



vix'60min


Summary

*as I type, we're seeing a rather strong reversal in equities..and being confirmed in the VIX.
--

Regardless of how we trade into late Friday, its still going to take 2-3 days to have any clarity that a near term floor has been put in.

Even if we are trading in the 1630/40s tomorrow - as difficult as that might seem, that still doesn't mean we won't see one final wave lower

Plenty of chartists out there counting the current action down as a 3, with a 4 bounce to come..and then a fifth...early next week.
---

*I remain heavy long (yes..am underwater), and seeking an exit in the low sp'1640s...within the next 3-5 trading days.
--

2.13pm...well, we're right on the edge of a major snap to the upside.

Hourly charts are PRIMED for major upside. Sure it could fail..but I'm guessing...no.

--
2.29pm...and away we go. Hourly index cycles breaking to the upside.

A close in the sp'1620s would offer 1640s by the Friday close..and that would no doubt annoy all those bears holding short..seeking much lower levels.