Wednesday 12 June 2013

12pm update - market struggling

The market is really starting to struggle. Opening gains of 10pts have entirely failed, and the sp is now -6 @ 1619. With the 1622 floor being taken out, the next soft support is somewhere in the 1615/10 area. VIX is showing some power, up around 5%.


sp'15min


Summary

Well, Mr Market is looking real weak.

The recent  high of 1648 now looks a considerable way up.

The last warning the bulls will get would be a VIX breaking into the 20s.

--
time for lunch


Hourly charts... we've hit the key 61% fib level.



Frankly, bulls should be desperate to get a daily close >1630, otherwise, tomorrow is not looking so good!


12.10pm So, we've hit 1617...a full 20pts below the opening high.

Despite the current down cycle, I still don't really see any major concern out there.

Right now..only two things would rattle me out of my long position.
1. VIX 20s
2. SP <1598.

--
Arguably, if we see either of those two things, bulls need to make a run for it...regardless of price.

12.25pm.. market trying to floor around 1617/16.  15min cycle looks close to turning, but then it looked like that an hour ago.

Long afternoon ahead for the bulls, a daily close >1630 will be pretty important.


12.35pm Bulls need this hour to close >1620, that should allow 1630s within 2hrs.