Good morning. Futures are a touch lower, sp -3pts, we're set to open at 1894. Precious metals are sharply higher, Gold +$13, Silver +2.1%. Equity bulls have little to prove, having broken new index highs, but just need to hold the sp'1890s.
sp'60min
Summary
So..we're set to open a little lower, but there is little reason why we won't turn positive within the opening hour, with a daily net gain.
--
Notable early strength, FCX +0.7%
-
Video from Mr C.
Naturally, Oscar is sticking with his upside target, which looks to be somewhere in the sp'1910/20 zone.
-
9.42am... Picked up a secondary R2K call block... this open is just the usual nonsense.
Wednesday, 14 May 2014
Equity bulls welcome the 1900s
It was just another day for the equity bulls, with a new set of historic index highs. The sp'500 has followed the Dow and the Transports, with the R2K/Nasdaq remaining significantly far behind. The bulls look set to control the market possibly as far ahead as mid June.
sp'weekly8b
Summary
There really isn't much to note.
As for the count on the above chart, it remains a 'best guess'. Market could easily get stuck in the 1920s, but with a fair few chartists out there noting it, the 1940/60 zone does look viable in June.
Looking ahead
There isn't much of significance due tomorrow, just PPI, housing data, and the latest EIA Oil report.
*next sig' QE-pomo is not until next Monday.
-
Trying my best
Having dropped a quartet of longs yesterday morning, I was indeed somewhat itchy to at least have something..and I picked up an index long position this lunch time. To be clear though, I am only interested in trading 'light' on the long side for the next few weeks.
With the broader weekly index cycles all bullish, I can only consider going long the indexes, even though of course, the current levels are historic highs.
A big turn is coming..and the next prime opportunity is arguably the FOMC of June'18, but that is a full five trading weeks away. For those currently short..that is indeed a pretty fair way away.
Goodnight from London
sp'weekly8b
Summary
There really isn't much to note.
As for the count on the above chart, it remains a 'best guess'. Market could easily get stuck in the 1920s, but with a fair few chartists out there noting it, the 1940/60 zone does look viable in June.
Looking ahead
There isn't much of significance due tomorrow, just PPI, housing data, and the latest EIA Oil report.
*next sig' QE-pomo is not until next Monday.
-
Trying my best
Having dropped a quartet of longs yesterday morning, I was indeed somewhat itchy to at least have something..and I picked up an index long position this lunch time. To be clear though, I am only interested in trading 'light' on the long side for the next few weeks.
With the broader weekly index cycles all bullish, I can only consider going long the indexes, even though of course, the current levels are historic highs.
A big turn is coming..and the next prime opportunity is arguably the FOMC of June'18, but that is a full five trading weeks away. For those currently short..that is indeed a pretty fair way away.
Goodnight from London
Daily Index Cycle update
US indexes closed somewhat mixed, sp +0.8pts @ 1897. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled +0.5% and -1.1% respectively. Near term outlook remains moderately bullish, to at least the sp'1910/20s. Best case upside remains the 1940/60 zone by mid June.
sp'daily5
R2K
Trans
Summary
With new historic highs in the Dow/Trans..and finally... the sp'500, the equity bulls can remain moderately confident..at least for another few weeks.
Equity bears have zero downside power, and it is now a case of how high can the bulls push the current multi-week up cycle..that stretches back to the key low of sp'1814.
Best guess..at least sp'1920..but there is a threat of the 1940/60 zone into the next FOMC of June'18.
--
Closing update from Riley
--
a little more later...
sp'daily5
R2K
Trans
Summary
With new historic highs in the Dow/Trans..and finally... the sp'500, the equity bulls can remain moderately confident..at least for another few weeks.
Equity bears have zero downside power, and it is now a case of how high can the bulls push the current multi-week up cycle..that stretches back to the key low of sp'1814.
Best guess..at least sp'1920..but there is a threat of the 1940/60 zone into the next FOMC of June'18.
--
Closing update from Riley
--
a little more later...
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)




