Wednesday 18 April 2018

Looking ahead

It was a day of mostly minor chop in equity land, with the sp' settling +0.1% at 2708. Meanwhile, oil remains very strong, breaking a new multi-year high of $68.72.


sp'weekly1b



WTIC weekly



Summary

sp: as things are, the sp' is comfortably on track for a second consecutive net weekly gain. It could certainly be argued price structure since late January is a giant bullish pennant, offering new historic highs this summer/autumn. Original big target of 2950/3047 would still be the more natural level at which this market might max out, whether you start from early 2016... or even back to March 2009.

WTIC: a net daily gain of 2.9% to $68.47, as a more natural s/t high would be from psy'70. Jim Iuorio is seeking a near term top, with a downside target of the $63s, and his view is always to be considered.



Looking ahead

Thursday will see the usual week jobs, phil' fed, and leading indicators.

Key earnings: BK, BX, and NVS.



Earnings continue to come in fine...



Its merits some reflection that the earnings beats are on analysts estimates that have generally been recently raised . AXP is fine, but far superior alts are MA and V.  Alcoa is warning of a global aluminum deficit for 2018, and it'll perhaps be useful to check on aluminum prices at least occasionally this summer.
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Normal service to resume

Today sure didn't go as planned. I woke up, boot up my desktop, only to find my private server was offline (malicious attack). So, it was back to my old home here. Tomorrow I'll be back at http://subscriber.permabeardoomster.com.

For many of you new people, if you liked what you read today, and that most certainly includes my work @ https://twitter.com/permabear_uk, then subscribe to me.

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A taste of summer
Goodnight from London
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