Thursday 18 January 2018

Thursday chop

US equity indexes closed on the weaker side, sp -4pts at 2798. The two leaders - Trans/R2K, settled u/c and -0.6% respectively. VIX settled +2.6% at 12.22. Near term outlook threatens moderate weakness into the opex-weekly close. More broadly, first big target remains 2950/3047, which is clearly at least a few months away.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities opened a little weak, saw some chop, leaned a little higher into mid afternoon, with closing hour minor weakness. The Dow notably broke a new historic high.

VIX saw a few minor swings, notably settling higher for the 9th day of past 10. Cyclically high, with the VIX highly prone to cooling back into the 10/9s by end month.
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Bonus chart: China, monthly


The Shanghai comp' is currently net higher for January by a very significant 5.1% at 3474. This is a provisional breakout. The 3500s would be decisive, and offer 4500 within 9-15 months. Huge implications for other world markets.

I'd also refer you to the Russian (RTSI) and Italian (MIB) markets. 
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A day of blustery showers in the metropolis
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Goodnight from London
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