Friday 13 May 2016

2pm update - the old leader is... leading

So much for the 'upside melt', as the sp'500 breaks below yesterday's low. The 'old leader' - Transports, is set for the third consecutive significant net daily decline. Despite the renewed weakness, VIX remains broadly subdued, managing only minor gains of 4% in the 15s.


Transports, daily



sp'60min


Summary

Well, I'm glad to be wrong about further tedious upside melt into the weekend.

The door is now open to make a play for the 2039 low. As has been the case for many weeks.. things only get interesting with a move into the 2020s.


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On clown finance TV, Robb Lutts of Cabot...


Mr L' was very bullish.. but interestingly, holds a far more bullish outlook for Gold, as he believes inflation will eventually appear as a result of the global QE programs.

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Meanwhile.. here in the land of overly priced and overly small properties...




Actually kinda chilly with a northerly wind... urghh.
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stay tuned
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2.02pm.. With market concerns.. gold picks up a little more, now +$5.. in the $1270s..

Naturally, miners following, GDX +1.5%.    Incredible underlying strength.


2.25pm.. the rats are starting to jump ship into the weekend... as 2039 is a valid target by the close.

Hell, if we can close 2039... 2020s for Monday....  which would give some initial clarity/confidence that 2111 is indeed a key mid term high.

VIX still... subdued, +5%.... even 19/20s briefly looks tough.. with sp'2000/1990s.