Tuesday 16 February 2016

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. US equity futures are significantly higher, sp +23pts, we're set to open around 1887. USD is +0.6% in the DXY 96.60s. Metals are rapidly cooling, Gold -$24, with Silver -2.3%. Oil is bouncing, +3.2% in the $39s.


sp'60min


Summary

I noted last Friday, an opening Tuesday gap higher of 20/25pts seemed probable, and here we are.. .set for the sp'1885/95 zone.

Its difficult to say if we'll see a daily close in the 1900s today, but it looks a given as the week proceeds.

Equity bulls look set to continue a bounce into next week.... before the market will likely get stuck around 1920/30.

*I'm well aware some are now touting 2000, 2040/50... or even an attempt at new historic highs. Frankly. even the 2K threshold seems like crazy talk to me.

--
re: Gold,  GLD, daily2


We're naturally seeing a retrace of last weeks hyper gains. GLD looks set for 113/112... aka... Gold $1180/70. It is notable that overnight futures saw Gold hit $1191.

Broadly, the $1300 threshold looks an easy target on the next up cycle.

--
Update from Oscar


---


Overnight action

Japan: somewhat choppy, settling +0.2% @ 16054. It is of course notable that the Monday session saw a bizarre hyper gain of >1000pts ... although it seems most acknowledge it was mostly about shorts covering.

China: first trading day of Monkey year.......... +3.3% @ 2836
Germany: currently -0.4% @ 9169

--
Have a good Tuesday