Monday 29 June 2015

12pm update - renewed downside

US equities see another wave lower, sp -24pts @ 2077, with VIX +23% in the 17.30s. Next soft support is the double low of 2072, then the futures overnight low of 2060. Primary support is the 200dma.. currently @ 2053. USD continues to cool, -0.3% in the DXY 95.10s.


sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

*with the break above 17, the door is finally open to next resistance in the VIX 20/21 zone.
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Considering the ongoing Greek situation, the current equity declines are only 'somewhat interesting'. Even VIX 17s aren't anything for the bears to get overly hysterical about.

Best guess... sp'2060/50s.. with VIX 20/21.. and then UP... after the July 4th weekend (and no.. that doesn't mean I am saying July 5th will open higher).

Broadly... I still fear one further lunge higher into early August.

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notable weakness: Ford (F), -2.5%.. daily chart looks lousy

BAC -2.5%... still unable to clear key resistance of $18.

SDRL, -3.1%.. as Oil prices are weak

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VIX update from Mr T.   due.

*seemingly.. another no-show...

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time for lunch