Tuesday 26 May 2015

Pre-Market Brief

Good morning. Futures are moderately lower, sp -4pts, we're set to open at 2122. The USD continues to climb, +0.9% in the DXY 96.80s. Metals are under pressure, Gold -$10, having lost the psy' level of $1200, with Silver -1.5%. Oil is similarly on the slide, -1.4%.


sp'daily5



GLD, daily



Summary

*I'm not surprised to see the metals (finally) see a break back under $1200.. as the USD is naturally pressuring most $ asset classes lower.
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As for equities... I don't expect any sig' downside this week.

All things considered, the sp'2150s look due within two weeks, and 2170s by the next FOMC of June 17th.

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To be clear.... DXY to break into the 97s... but then turning lower for a month or two.

However, any sustained action in the 98s would be too high to be considered a bounce/retrace... and would instead by suggestive of a straight run to the 120s... before year end.
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*awaiting a truck load of econ-data this morning.

.. also notable.. Fed official Fischer is speaking on 'The Fed and the global economy' this lunch time in Israel. Mr Market will be listening.
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Have a good week


8.36am Durable Good orders, -0.5%.. not so pretty... but ironically above market expectations.

Indexes continue to cool.. if slowly, sp -5pts... 2121.

Metals are where the early sig' weakness remains, Gold -$16, with Silver -2.1%...

.. as the USD +1.1% in the DXY 97.00s..... 


8.56am... the USD continues to climb.. pressuring everything....

sp-7pts  2119...

Gold -$18....  having lost the 50dma

Oil -2.0%.... looking problematic.. back in the $58s.