Wednesday 12 March 2014

10am update - weekly charts flashing an initial warning

US equities open moderately lower, and the January high of sp'1850 looks set to be tested today. Precious metals are probably catching a 'fear trade' bid, with Gold +$19, Silver +1.5%. Oil continues to be weak, -1.1%. VIX is showing a little kick, +5%..in the 15.60s


sp'weekly8


GLD, daily


Summary

*a clear break above the Oct' high for Gold, certainly bodes for more upside
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Let me be clear...

I will be reluctant to get involved until the next FOMC is out of the way, however, it is starting to get kinda interesting.

We have the first blue candle on the weekly 'rainbow' index charts, and if we close the week 'blue'...then that will indeed offer a simple short-side trade, with a loose stop at the recent high in the 1880s.

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Lets see how the bull maniacs do today...but probably far more important..is how tomorrow proceeds.


10.16am.. LIVE stream of NYC explosion
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Meanwhile, market is trying to rally, but so far...looks weak.
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10.28am... Bulls could do with a daily close in the 1870s...to get things back on track.

Anyway...without getting lost in bearish hysteria, it is interesting to see the weekly cycles flash an initial warning.

VIX +1%....and that should be a concern to the bears.