Thursday 13 February 2014

10am update - retracing.. as expected

The US indexes did indeed put in a short term peak yesterday at sp'1826, and we're now well into a natural retracement. Best guess..primary downside to 1800/1790, with VIX in the 16s. Broader trend should resume upward next week..and across most of March.


sp'60min


sp'daily5


Summary

Mr Market seems to be behaving itself..and the retracement is looking good.

No doubt we'll see a little bounce today, but the general weakness should continue into early tomorrow.

*with no sig' QE-pomo until next Tuesday..bears have the window of opportunity!
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The bigger question is how high might we go in March.? I did post on that last night, even the low 1900s still seem viable.
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10.02am... Interesting continued strength in the metals. Gold +$6, and miners are gaining..GDX +2.2%,

So..a bounce from the open..1809 to 1814... I can't imagine that was it for sub'2, no way.   There is no reason we won't see renewed weakness.


10.17am... bears on the run.....ultimate short-stops will be 1825/30... an impressive bounce from the open. VIX set to turn red...

Notable strength in the momo stocks.. TWTR and TSLA both +2.5%