Friday 25 October 2013

10am update - market wants an excuse to retrace

Underlying price pressure remains strongly to the upside, but the market still feels tired, and some weakness across today looks viable. Metals are a touch weak, Gold -$3. Oil is moderately higher,+0.4%. VIX is generally flat lining in the 13s, +0.4%


sp'60min


Summary

*consumer sentiment: 73.2
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It is unquestionably a tired market, and a retrace would be very natural right now.

Overly risky for a short-index trade, not least with ALL bigger cycles outright bullish.
As it is, the price action is highly suggestive that no one wants to buy >1759 into the weekend.

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Meanwhile, in crazy land...

AMZN, daily


A loss making company...naturally ramping to the moon...and then Mars.
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10.20am.. market WANTS to retrace. Even 1745 will be difficult though.

Everything is set up though for the bears across today.