Tuesday 11 June 2013

3pm update - ramp into the close?

The market has put in a secondary floor at sp'1627, and we're now seemingly set to rally into the close. First target is the morning high of sp'1640, a close above that is very much possible, and that would crush the VIX back into the 15s.


sp'60min


Summary

Interesting day, Mr Market is somewhat 'behaving' very well lately.  The up and down cycles seem natural, which sure makes things a lot easier to trade.

Hourly index charts will likely show a confirmed new up cycle early Wednesday - even if we open marginally lower.

*note that there is no significant QE-pomo until this Thursday.
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*I remain largely on the sidelines. Will consider an Oil (USO), and possibly index long tomorrow morning.
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3.17pm... price formation getting squeezed. I'm guessing we break UP imminently. A close in the 1640s still on the table.



stay tuned

3.25pm... ANY break >1635..and this market will close in the 1640s.

As Maria might say ..'we're off the lows of the day'.   urghh.#


3.33pm.. price formation remains a VERY tight triangle.



Its gonna break one way or ...other. Not necessarily today though. It could flatline into the close.

*I'm actually hoping it trades sideways, and will re-long at the Wednesday open.


3.45pm.. prices BREAK under the triangle. It sure looks weak now.

Market had better rally upward tomorrow..or the HIGH is in @ 1687..in which case the target is...1480.

3.48pm...Its getting ugly out there ! sp'1625..and this is looking like the Wednesday open will be way more critical than today was.

Market in serious trouble now.