Friday 21 December 2012

Daily Index Cycle update

The main indexes closed moderately higher after what was a somewhat choppy trading day.  Once again, the transports and the Rus'2000 were the stronger indexes, with the tech' sector lagging. Near term trend remains upward.


IWM



Dow



Sp'daily5



Trans


Summary

It was not the most exciting day, but there was certainly some interesting price action in individual stocks.
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The transports had yet another higher close, and we're now getting very close to the important 5400 level - the March highs. A daily close >5400 would be VERY bullish for the broader market. So, the doomer bears should be very concerned that the old leader..is still leading UP.


A week ago

Last Friday we closed @ sp'1413, after the FOMC spike high of 1438. The fact we broke that high this week remains a troubling issue. I would really like to see a major down day tomorrow, its the last major opex of the year, so maybe the market makers would like to pin the SPY @ 142 ? Yet, we've not had a major decline in around 5-6 weeks. Even a 1% decline tomorrow seems overly hopeful.

A little more later